Tuesday, November 02, 2010

A very good Election Day for the GOP!


Making predictions in mid-terms is risky.

However, I am very confident to write this: The GOP will win the House but fall short in the US Senate.

What number? 45-50 seats in the House! (They need 39)

6-8 in the US Senate! (They need 10)

Let's put our money on Gallup:

"The results are from Gallup's Oct. 28-31 survey of 1,539 likely voters. It finds 52% to 55% of likely voters preferring the Republican candidate and 40% to 42% for the Democratic candidate on the national generic ballot -- depending on turnout assumptions.

Gallup's analysis of several indicators of voter turnout from the weekend poll suggests turnout will be slightly higher than in recent years, at 45%.

This would give the Republicans a 55% to 40% lead on the generic ballot, with 5% undecided."

Charlie Cook is predicting 50-60 in the House and 6-8 in the Senate.

Like previous mid-terms, it will come down to "turnout". Therefore, we should know something about "turnout" in the late afternoon.

No matter what, Pres BO will have a very different Congress.

Click here for our chat with Bill Katz & Clifford Bazar:



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