Saturday, April 27, 2019

Saturday's show: Great GDP numbers plus VP Biden & polls

Great GDP numbers plus VP Biden & polls 04/27 by Silvio Canto Jr | Politics:

We will look at the VP Biden running for President.......The world called on VP Biden to run?......Spring polls and President Glenn?.......US economy and 3.2% GDP growth.......Babe Ruth said goodbye to baseball 1947 and more stories.............click to listen:




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Saturday's video: Babe Ruth 1947



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Remember President John Glenn?

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It took some pollsters only a few minutes to tell us that V.P. Biden, or #21, has a nine-point lead on President Trump.
It reminded some of us of other polls from days gone by, such as this one from the spring of 1983, when President Ronald Reagan was coming out of the 1981–82 recession:
The headline links to a Morning Consult story that found Biden with a 42 percent to 34 percent lead over President Trump in a hypothetical matchup.
“Along with his advantage over Trump, Biden has held a consistent lead in Morning Consult’s weekly tracking among likely Democratic primary voters,” the report says.
But the only thing shocking about this poll is that anyone would put any stock in such polls so early in the race.  Just ask President John Glenn.
In May 1983, a Gallup poll came out showing that then-Sen. John Glenn would do better in a matchup against President Reagan, with a far wider margin than the Biden/Trump split.
As the New York Times reported on May 19 of that year, the survey “found that Senator Glenn led Mr. Reagan 54 percent to 37 percent.”
At that point, the eventual Democratic nominee, Walter Mondale, had a 49 percent to 43 percent edge over Reagan.
A Harris survey in July 1983 concluded that “it seems certain that the 1984 presidential election will be close, with neither the President nor his most probable Democratic opponents assured of any solid lead.”
Actual result: Reagan won a massive landslide over Mondale, getting almost 59% of the popular vote and 525 electoral votes — winning every state except Mondale’s home state of Minnesota.
The story points out that President George W. Bush was also trailing Senator Lieberman in the spring of 2003 by nine.
My point is that voters vote on Election Day, not 19 months in advance.
Time will tell whether President Trump is re-elected or not.  He does have a stronger U.S. economy that President Reagan had a this time: “US economy grows by 3.2% in the first quarter, topping expectations.”
The moral of the story is to read polls with a little dose of healthy skepticism.
PS: You can listen to my show (Canto Talk) and follow me on Twitter.

Tags: Remember President John Glenn? To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!

Impeachment, the census plus VP Biden and Senator Harris


Impeachment is not going anywhere:  “ABC/WaPo Poll: Support For Impeachment Drops To 37%“.

It makes sense to me because voters understand what impeachment means:

First, it will freeze the US House and nothing will get done about the border chaos or health care.  The Democrats seeking reelection in competitive districts next year can not afford that.  They need to go back and say that they passed something rather than just investigate President Trump; and,

Second, it will be very diffciult to write articles of impeachment without a crime or to get a conviction in the US Senate.

\Will the angry left force the House Democrats to start impeachment?  I don’t know but they will make a lot of noise.

On another front, Senator Kamala Harris is apparently a gun owner.  She said in Iowa that she owned a gun “for personal safety.”

So what’s the big deal?  She is a Democrat and has been pandering to the left about gun control.

On the census,  I’ve always been very proud to say that I am a citizen of the US.

After all, this wonderful country opened its doors and gave me a chance to realize my potential.

My life would have been very different if I stayed in Cuba. I learn this everytime that I talk to someone from the island.

The Supreme Court is looking into whether or not the citizenship question should be asked as part of the census.

A new poll from ScottRasmussen.com reports that “73% BELIEVE CITIZENSHIP QUESTION IS APPROPRIATE FOR CENSUS“.

Put me down with the 73%.  What’s the issue?  Why shouldn’t we ask such a question?

Finally, our favorite line of the day comes from VP Biden, now running for president: “The thing I’m proudest of… not one single whisper of scandal.

My guess is that the upcoming IG report may amend VP Biden’s memory.

P.S.  You can listen to my show (Canto Talk) and follow me on Twitter.


Tags: Impeachment, the census and citizenship, VP Biden, Senator Harris and guns To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!

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