We've seen many polls lately, but the CNN "general election match ups" are ridiculous:
Secretary Hillary Clinton beats Gov Jeb Bush, Gov Chris Christie, and Gov Scott Walker, 55-40%
She beats Sen Rand Paul, 54-43%, and Sen Marco Rubio, 55-42.
This is insane for two reasons:
1) We have not had a presidential candidate get 55% since President Reagan was reelected with almost 60% in 1984.
Gov Clinton got 43% in a 3-way race with Perot in 1992 and was reelected with less than 50%.Furthermore, in 1988, seen by many as Reagan's 3rd term election, VP Bush beat Gov Dukakis, 53-46%.
Gov Bush was elected in that "tie" of 2000 with 48% and was reelected with 51%.
Senator Obama won 52.8% in 2008 and was reelected with 51% in 2012.
2) All of the other polls show Sec Clinton under 50%.
It surprises me that no one at CNN News looked at these results and immediately contacted the pollster and said: These numbers make no sense! What does your sample look like? Do it again!
It's too early and things could change in many ways before Election Day 2016.
Hillary Clinton may be our next president. However, I don't she will be the first candidate to crack 54% since Reagan. I don't see that happening. Frankly, I don't think that she will create the kind of excitement that will bring out young people, Hispanics, and African Americans like Senator Obama in 2008!
Again, this is a silly poll. It amazes me that CNN didn't see just how flawed these numbers are.
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