Sunday, March 27, 2016

Trump’s supporters will overlook this but what about general election women?


A few weeks ago, I was thinking about some of our potential First Ladies and that a few of them were born outside the US.  Mrs. Bush born in Mexico.  Mrs. Rubio born in Colombia, although I’ve learned since that she is actually from Miami.  Mrs. Trump who was born in Slovenia.   
It was an interesting exercise and I read a bit about these fascinating ladies in the Internet.   I also learned at that time that there are lots of pictures about Melania Trump from her modeling days.
This week, an anti-Trump ran a picture of Mrs. Trump.  I understand Mr. Trump’s anger. It was a cheap shot from a PAC that should apologize to the Trumps about this.
Mr. Trump added fuel to the fire when he went after Senator Cruz rather than the PAC.  My guess is that most Americans sympathized with him. Again, it was tasteless and a cheap shot.
The odd thing is that Senator Cruz had nothing to do with the picture.  Nevertheless, Trump could not control his anger and overreacted by going after Heidi Cruz, a wife, mother of 2 and a generally nice lady.
Here is the problem:  Women are watching!  I am talking about the same women that he will need to defeat Mrs. Clinton in November.    
Worse than that, he is already in trouble with women in the polls:
When it comes to the general electorate, Trump has an even more pronounced problem with female voters.
Trump’s favorability with women overall is a dismal 21 percent positive/ 70 (!) percent negative.
With men, it’s 28 percent positive/ 59 percent negative.
And while women traditionally vote for Democratic candidates in larger numbers than men, data shows that a Trump nomination would exacerbate the issue for Republicans.
Trump’s supporters will discount all of this again by saying that they do not believe in polls.   
Good luck with that!
One poll, OK.  2 polls, maybe.  A series of polls is something to consider, or at the very least look at the information and take a second look.
Mr. Trump has won an impressive list of primaries by getting between 30-40% of GOP votes.
He is going to need a lot more than that to get 270 Electoral Votes and the keys to the Oval Office.  He is also going to need a lot of suburban mothers who cannot be happy with what he did to Mrs. Cruz!
P.S. You can listen to my show (Canto Talk) and follow me on Twitter.

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"Semana Santa" and some thoughts about politics






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