Wednesday, February 29, 2012

Senator Rubio will be the GOP VP nominee

We do not know yet who will be the 2012 GOP nominee.  Will it be Santorum or Romney? My guess is that it will be Romney but that's a very fluid situation.

It looks that Rubio is the leading candidate to share the GOP ticket with Santorum or Romney.


How do we know that Rubio is doing well?  The Democrats are already declaring war on Rubio.  The Hill has a story about the Dems and Rubio:


"Democrats have started to wage a political assault against Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), and the intensity of their attacks will intensify in the coming weeks. 
Senior officials in the Democratic Party anticipate that Mitt Romney will win the Republican presidential nomination and then tap Rubio to be his running mate."

Why the attacks on Rubio?


First, he is a very attractive spokesman for conservative values.  Also, Dems have overestimated their hold on Hispanic voters.  I think that Rubio on the ticket could mean that the GOP do better with Hispanics, i.e. around 45% like Bush in '04.


Second, Rubio could deliver Florida, the 3rd largest electoral vote block.


Third, Rubio will energize the base like on one else.


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