Wednesday, March 25, 2015

A look at Senator Cruz PLUS the 2016 GOP field with Richard Baehr of American Thinker


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Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Does CNN really think that Hillary will get 55% of the vote?

(My new American Thinker post)

 We've seen many polls lately, but the CNN "general election match ups" are ridiculous:

 Secretary Hillary Clinton beats Gov Jeb Bush, Gov Chris Christie, and Gov Scott Walker, 55-40%

 She beats Sen Rand Paul, 54-43%, and Sen Marco Rubio, 55-42.

 This is insane for two reasons:

 1) We have not had a presidential candidate get 55% since President Reagan was reelected with almost 60% in 1984.   

Gov Clinton got 43% in a 3-way race with Perot in 1992 and was reelected with less than 50%.Furthermore, in 1988, seen by many as Reagan's 3rd term election, VP Bush beat Gov Dukakis, 53-46%.    

Gov Bush was elected in that "tie" of 2000 with 48% and was reelected with 51%.   
Senator Obama won 52.8% in 2008 and was reelected with 51% in 2012.

 2) All of the other polls show Sec Clinton under 50%.   

 It surprises me that no one at CNN News looked at these results and immediately contacted the pollster and said:  These numbers make no sense!   What does your sample look like? Do it again!

 It's too early and things could change in many ways before Election Day 2016.   
Hillary Clinton may be our next president. However, I don't she will be the first candidate to crack 54% since Reagan. I don't see that happening.   Frankly, I don't think that she will create the kind of excitement that will bring out young people, Hispanics, and African Americans like Senator Obama in 2008!   

 Again, this is a silly poll. It amazes me that CNN didn't see just how flawed these numbers are.  

 P.S. You can hear my show  (CantoTalk) or follow me on Twitter.
Check Out Politics Podcasts at Blog Talk Radio with Silvio Canto Jr on BlogTalkRadio




Tags: CNN polls and 2016 election  To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!
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A look at the latest from the US-Cuba talks with Jorge Ponce


GUEST: Jorge Ponce, Cuban American writer and contributor to Babalu Blog, joins me for an update on the US-Cuba talks.....
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Monday, March 23, 2015

'Populismo' is Killing Brazil

(My new American Thinker post)

 We recall the 2014 election that reelected President Rouseff. At the time, we posted here that the country was bitterly divided between those who pay taxes and the others who get government benefits. As IBD posted:
Virtually every state that went for Rousseff has at least 25% of the population dependent on Brazil's Bolsa Familia welfare program of cash for single mothers, given for keeping children vaccinated and in school.
States with less than 25% of the population on Bolsa Familia overwhelmingly went for Neves and his policies of growth.
The World Bank and others praise Bolsa Familia's "poverty alleviation." Problem is, "some experts warn that a wide majority cannot get out of this dependence relationship with the government," as the U.K. Guardian put it.
And whether it's best for a country that aspires to become a global economic powerhouse to have a quarter of the population — 50 million people — dependent on welfare and producing nothing is questionable.
That was then and this is not too longer after that, or about 6 months later.

 Over the last couple of weeks, thousands have marched across the country demanding change:
About 1.5 million protesters hit the streets across Brazil on Sunday in a major show of anger against leftist President Dilma Rousseff, who faces crises from a faltering economy to a massive corruption scandal at state oil giant Petrobras.
Many called for the impeachment of Rousseff, less than six months after she was narrowly returned to power in the most bitterly fought presidential race since the end of a military dictatorship in 1985.
The demonstrations are a perfect storm of failed "populist" policies and massive corrution at the Petrobras, the state oil company.

 One interesting sign in the demonstrations was one that said: "Go to Cuba". This is a reference to the leftist inclination of the incumbent president. It also points to me that there must be a lot of middle-class people on the streets calling for change.
Rousseff will survive this, but it won't be easy. The left has created this massive dependency that translates into votes. 

 Unfortunately, the nation's stagnant economy is not generating the kind of growth projected a few years ago to finance the dependency scheme:
Economists again cut their growth outlook for Brazil this year and now see Latin America's largest economy stagnating.
Brazil's 2015 gross domestic product is expected to post zero growth, down from a forecast of 0.03% expansion last week, according to a weekly central bank survey of 100 economists. This marked the sixth consecutive reduction, according to the survey.
Brazil is another example of the failure of populism.   

Speaking of corruption, Anderson Antunes recently wrote that the "...annual cost of corruption in Brazil is between 1.38% to 2.3% of the country’s total GDP".  In terms of money, that's between $30 to $50 billion!  That's a lot money that could be going to addressing some of the structural problems facing this huge country.

 Latin America should know by now that "populismo" does not create prosperity. It just drives investors to other more attractive places, like Chile next door. 

 It also creates a bloated state, "crony capitalism" and the corruption that comes with it.

It's time for real change to come to Brazil. Frankly, all that they have to do is look next door to Chile!   

 P.S. You can hear my show (CantoTalk) or follow me on Twitter.
Check Out Politics Podcasts at Blog Talk Radio with Silvio Canto Jr on BlogTalkRadio


Tags: "Populismo" in Brazil  To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!
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The week in review with Bill Katz, editor of Urgent Agenda.


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Sunday, March 22, 2015

Venezuela, Brazil, Cuba, Argentina and other US-Latin America


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Mandatory voting and more about the Israeli elections


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Race relations under President Obama with Bob Parks


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Elections in Israel, the Iran nuclear deal & Iraq War 12 years later with Barry Jacobsen


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The latest on the US-Cuba talks with Jorge Ponce


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