Saturday, April 21, 2012

Pres BO was too busy opposing free trade agreements and did not see "the Colombia miracle"


The Cartagena "call girl" scandal will pass.  It was very embarrassing but it will pass and life will go on.

More importantly, people will say this about the Cartagena summit:  Pres BO does not have a Latin America policy and was caught totally off guard by the Colombia miracle.   

Pres BO showed up without an agenda or much interest in what goes on south of the border, from the dangerous situation in Guatemala to the influence of China.

Frankly, it was not that big of a surprise that Pres BO would show up without "an agenda".  

Pres BO's presidency has lacked "an agenda" for Latin America and everything else, from serious entitlement reform to explaining to US voters what we are still doing in Afghanistan.  

It has been a presidency of "cliches" or telling people what they want to hear.  It worked at the beginning when too many were caught up in "Obama-mania" and rather silly expectations.  It does not work anymore.

Worst of all, Pres BO's lack of interest in Latin America led him to miss "The Colombia Miracle" or how that country turned itself around with responsible leadership, (Pres Uribe) and a strong relationship with the US, i.e. Plan Colombia. 

Colombia is attracting investment and developing a middle class, as The Washington Post reports on their recent editorial.    

It is a major success story in US-Latin America relations.  It started with Pres Clinton and continued by Pres GW Bush.  (TIME has a long article: Colombia Rising)

Pres BO's "Colombia problem" is that he spent much of his candidacy and presidency "bad mouthing" the Colombia Free Trade Agreement.  He did so irresponsibly and demagogically.   Worse of all, he did so without regard for Pres Uribe and the Colombian people who were fighting a domestic insurgency.


What do you do when you don't have "an agenda" or overlook Colombia, the aforementioned success story.

What do you do?  You show up in Cartagena without an agenda and prove to the world that you are in over your head.

Click here for our Friday show with Dr. Ileana Johnson-Paugh:

 
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Is Europe capable of dealing with reality?

It looks like another European government will change this weekend.  According to news reports, Pres Sarkozy of France will go down and replaced by a leftist government.

My guess is that Europeans will change quite a few governments but not much tangible will happen.

Europe is simply living with the consequences of the welfare state or politicians who got reelected making promises about this or that.   It was good but it won't go on anymore.

Eventually, the Europeans will realize that "la dolce vita" was a movie and not a sustainable way of life.  

You will see massive changes in Europe over the next 25  years.    I agree with this article:

"Europe’s social systems will look very different 20 years from now. They will still be around, but benefit programs will be far less generous, and a greater part of social security will be organised privately. Welfare services, like health care, will be exposed to competition and, to a much greater degree, paid for out of pocket or by private insurance."

The bad news is that many Europeans do not have a clue of how bad things will get before they get any better.

The good news is that we are watching and learning from it.  We still have time to change and avoid the iceberg.

Click for our chat with Dr Ileana Johnson-Paugh.  We discussed the situation in Europe in the first segment:


Listen to internet radio with Silvio Canto Jr on Blog Talk Radio



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