Another day and another round of polls suggesting that the Cruz-O'Rourke US Senate race is a dead heat or closer than it should be.
It makes no sense. Let's look at voters and not poll samples.
Back in March, or the Texas primary, Senator Cruz got 1.3 million votes in a contest without promotion or suspense.
On the other hand, Representative O'Rourke got 641 thousand votes but lost almost 40% to a couple of unknown candidates who spent nothing.
In total, 1.4 million GOP votes versus almost 1 million Democrats.
I should add that many Republicans did not turn out at all because of the lack of competitive races. My point is that a lot more than 1.3 million Republicans will vote in November. For example, Cruz got 4 million votes in 2012!
So how do we hear that this is now a close race?
The answer is that it is not! Senator Cruz will win by 10 points.
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