Wednesday, February 03, 2016

Polls and Clinton sweeps The Coin Flip Bowl


Thank God we finally have voters to talk about.  
Once again, we have polls that did not see the results coming.  
To be fair, it is more complicated to do a poll in a caucus state than a primary or general election. I get that!
So why don’t these pollsters report a larger margin of error? Or simply admit that they don’t really know?
Or why doesn’t the media drop the polls and send human beings to the events? None of the pollsters saw the Rubio surge. Yet, people on the ground were saying that something was going on at his rallies.
Iowa also proves that a ground game is necessary. Trump did not have a ground game and Cruz did. It showed on the results!
In the end, Iowa always surprises us. Is this fascinating or what? This is from the Des Moines Register:
In a handful of Democratic caucus precincts Monday, a delegate was awarded with a coin toss.
It happened in precinct 2-4 in Ames, where supporters of candidates Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton disputed the results after 60 caucus participants apparently disappeared from the proceedings.
As a result of the coin toss, Clinton was awarded an additional delegate, meaning she took five of the precinct’s eight, while Sanders received three.
Similar situations played out at various precincts across the state, but had an extremely small effect on the overall outcome, in which Clinton won 49.9 percent of statewide delegate equivalents, while Sanders won 49.5 percent. The delegates that were decided by coin flips were delegates to the party’s county conventions, of which there are thousands selected across the state from 1,681 separate precincts. They were not the statewide delegate equivalents that are reported in the final results.
Maybe the coin flips did not change the results but deciding results on a coin flip is crazy.  
First, how do “60 caucus participants” disappear? Where did they go? Was there an Iowa basketball game on the TV? Were they afraid of the snow?
Second, how did the Clinton win so many flips? Is that possible?
The Democrats need to look at their caucus proceedings. You don’t decide elections with coin flips!
P.S. You can listen to my show (Canto Talk) and follow me on Twitter.

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