Sunday, January 31, 2016

The last Iowa poll is confusing

The last Iowa poll has good news for Mr Trump and Mrs Clinton.    They lead although the Clinton lead over Sanders is 3 points or within the margin of error.  Trump is up by 5 points over Cruz.    
More than half—55 percent—say their mind is made up, while 45 percent say they either don't have a first-choice candidate or could still be persuaded to pick someone else.
In the final Iowa Poll before the 2012 Republican caucuses, 51 percent say they had their minds made up.
My point is that there may be a surprise on Tuesday night.   Frankly, it wouldn't surprise me!

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