Friday's video: Texas 2024 elections with George Rodriguez

The 2024 election with Frank Burke, businessman & author

 Guest:  ......Frank Burke, businessman and author.....The 2024 election and some thoughts about the Wisconsin vote.

Mexico spooked by Trump

Mexico spooked by Trump: South of the border the word is that Trump is back. The new President Claudia Sheinbaun issued the standard congratulatory tweet. Yet, there is a lot of confusion. Honestly, most of it is just the Mexican version of Trump Derangement Syndrome but….

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Mexico spooked by Trump - American Thinker https://t.co/kiAKx29Sql

— Silvio Canto. Jr. (@silvio_canto) November 8, 2024

 

South of the border the word is that Trump is back. The new President Claudia Sheinbaun issued the standard congratulatory tweet. Yet, there is a lot of confusion. Honestly, most of it is just the Mexican version of Trump Derangement Syndrome but that’s how it is. Let’s get a sample of “La Presidenta” and her news conference:

On Wednesday, Nov. 6, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo (CSP) reassured her constituents that there is “no cause for concern” for Mexico following Tuesday’s reelection of former U.S. President Donald Trump into the Oval Office.

CSP’s words of caution come just two days after Trump threatened to levy high tariffs against Mexico, which currently stands as the United States’ number one trade partner in the world if Sheinbaum did not address the flow of drugs and migrants from Mexico to the United States.

“President Trump has already spoken out, but it is prudent to wait,” said Sheinbaum. “And to all Mexicans: there is no cause for concern; to our countrymen and women, to their families who are here, there is no cause for concern.”

“Mexico is moving forward. We are a free, independent, sovereign country, and there will be good relations with the United States, and I am convinced of that,” the Mexican federal executive continued.

To be honest, “La Presidenta” is pushing back on some of the exaggerated fears. As I’m sure she knows, President Trump has no plan to invade Mexico or intervene in any way. (By the way, U.S. military intervention is what scares the Mexican Left. They are still living with the memory of President Woodrow Wilson pushing Pancho Villa back over the Rio Grande)

My sense is that Trump wants to fix the border, i.e. human trafficking and drugs coming in. He could care less about the ongoing political crisis between the judiciary and executive south of the border. He’ll leave Mexicans to settle that.

Again, it’s the border what matters. At the same time, Trump will use tariffs to get what he wants. My prediction is that Mexico will comply and work with Trump because there is a lot of concern about violence tearing up large chunks of Mexican territory. So I wouldn’t be surprised if Mexicans force their new president to work with Mexico to control the cartels.

So the political class is freaking out over Trump. I’m not sure that Mexicans stepping over bullets feel the same way. They want action against the criminals and Trump may be the new president’s best ally to do that.

P.S. Check out my blog for posts, podcasts and videos.

We remember Margaret Mitchell (1900-1949)

We remember Margaret Mitchell who was born on this day in 1900.  Her classic "Gone with the wind" was published in 1936.   

Mitchell died in 1949.

 P.S.  Check out my blog for posts, podcasts and videos. If you like our posts, please look for ”Donate” on the right column of the blog page.

 

Remembering the JFK-Nixon election of 1960

Years ago today, Senator John F. Kennedy defeated Vice President Richard Nixon to win the 1960 election.   VP Nixon conceded the next day despite this election being very close.

Wonder how many people know how close that JFK-Nixon election was?   The two men were separated by about 113,000 votes, or 49.72% to 49.55%!  

The Kennedy “mystique” is such that many people assume that he was elected by a landslide.  On the contrary, it was a very close election and one wonders what would have happened if Nixon had insisted on a recount.   

In fact, I think that the nation owes VP Nixon thanks for not having thrown the country into a chaotic recount, much like what we saw in 2000 between Governor Bush and VP Gore.  One big difference between Gore vs Bush and JFK vs Nixon is that 2000 was about Florida whereas 1960 would have involved several states, such as Illinois and Texas. 

 P.S.  Check out my blog for posts, podcasts and videos. If you like our posts, please look for ”Donate” on the right column of the blog page.

The 1972 Nixon model

This week in 1972, President Nixon was reelected in a huge landslide.  He put together one of the greatest election victories of all time.  He got 61% of the popular vote, beating Senator George McGovern by 18 million votes.  Add 520 electoral votes to the story and you have the textbook definition of a wipeout.

Who predicted that?  I was there and don’t remember anyone predicting that a year before.

Why should President Trump’s team look at that election?  I see some interesting similarities:

1) 1971 polls projected a very tight race: Nixon 43 vs Muskie 39.   As we know now, Senator Edmund Muskie never made it and President Nixon won big.

2) Senator McGovern did not have a issue.  In other words, the anti-war candidate ran against a war that was practically over on election day.   

3) The Democrat convention was a circus and nominee Senator McGovern did not deliver his acceptance speech until after midnight.  I saw it, but most people probably didn’t.  Who watches acceptance speeches at 3 a.m. ET?

So what can we learn?   

First, all the polls are worthless.  President Nixon was vulnerable against Senator Muskie or Senator Hubert Humphrey.  However, he ran against Senator McGovern, a nice man but not much more.  

In other words, let’s wait until the Democrats actually have a candidate.  President Trump may run against Senator Elizabeth Warren, the lady who can’t explain her numbers.  The Dallas Morning News called it right:  Elizabeth Warren’s health care math is a populist dream — and fiscal nightmare.

As in 1972, the Democrats may nominate an unelectable nominee!

Second, results matter.  Nixon put up results, such as ending the war that got him elected. President Trump has results in the form of a growing economy.

Last but not least, the 2020 convention could be a huge circus like the 1972 gathering that showed the country a side of America that President Nixon could run against.

My guess is that President Trump (corrected) won’t get 61% of the vote or 520 electoral votes.  Nevertheless, he will run for re-election with a strong economy.  It will be difficult for Americans to buy a message of “doom” when their eyes are seeing something else.

I’m sure that there a lot of smart people at the Trump 2020 offices.  I hope that they go back and read the 1972 Nixon strategy.

PS: You can listen to my show (Canto Talk) and follow me on Twitter.