In a few weeks, some pollsters are going to be right or wrong.
According to new polls, Senator Bernie Sanders is surging in Iowa:
Senator Bernie Sanders has opened up a lead in Iowa just over a week before the Democratic caucuses, consolidating support from liberals and benefiting from divisions among more moderate presidential candidates who are clustered behind him, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll of likely caucusgoers.
The poll has VP Biden at 17%.
More importantly, Sanders is leading in New Hampshire, the first primary. Sanders is leading Biden by 29% to 17%.
Before we write off VP Biden, let’s just say that polls are polls and there will be a bunch more before voters actually vote. In other words, a lot of establishment Democrats do not want Sanders as the nominee.
My sense is that these polls are correct. Sanders’ ideology is where the party is. On the other hand, VP Biden has been a terrible candidate all around.
What happens if Sanders wins Iowa and New Hampshire? It means that Biden will have to win North Carolina or check out Jeb Bush’s withdrawal speech from 2016.
Again, a lot can change and probably will. Yet, Sanders is where the action is, as Freddie Cannon used to sing.
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