Friday, September 30, 2016

A look at the US Senate races & Clinton-Trump with Chris Corbett


CLICK TO LISTEN:


Guest:   Chris Corbett, North Texas conservative activist....will look back at the Trump-Clinton debate......what happens next? Advice to Mr Trump.........we will also look at the GOP effort to keep the US Senate.......and more stories.......... ......



Tags: Clinton vs Trump, US Senate 2016 races To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!

Remember the ones about keeping your own doctor and troops out of Iraq?


Year eight and credibility is a huge problem for the “hope and change” man!
We are sending more troops to Iraq, but don’t call them combat troops. Like LBJ in 1964, the Obama administration, and Clinton campaign, want you to understand that having U.S. troops in a war zone does not mean that anyone will shoot at them. I guess they will all neatly line up behind others
Year eight and credibility is a huge problem for the “hope and change” man!
We are sending more troops to Iraq, but don’t call them combat troops. Like LBJ in 1964, the Obama administration, and Clinton campaign, want you to understand that having U.S. troops in a war zone does not mean that anyone will shoot at them. I guess they will all neatly line up behind others and just watch the firefight, sort of like an Obama war video game. I just hope that the Obama fanatics read their history about Vietnam.
The irony is that we now have 5,000 troops in Iraq on the 7th anniversary of our withdrawal from Iraq. As the aforementioned articles explains, the White House claims that this is all consistent with Obama’s policy! In other words, I guess that meant to withdraw the troops, gloat about it 2012, and then put them back at the end of his second term.
Over at the ObamaCare office, the so-called “signature legislation” is in trouble. It is now apparent to anyone that the program will have to be dismantled unless the next president wants to call for a huge tax increase. Forget “single payer”. It only happens when Democrats are speaking to their partisans!
In fact, The Affordable Health Care Act is only affordable for those who are not paying for it. AHCA is also making it more difficult for people to afford it, as we see from Dan Springer:
When Health Republic Insurance of New Jersey announced recently that it’s $46 million in debt and shutting down, it became the 17th failed ObamaCare co-op since the Affordable Care Act launched three years ago.
Those failures — just six of the original 23 co-ops remain — have left hundreds of thousands of people scrambling for coverage.
Meanwhile, insurers claiming big losses are leaving some state exchanges — including Indiana University Health Plans, whose exit is expected to result in 27,000 Indiana residents losing ObamaCare plans in 2017. And companies still operating in the federal and state exchanges are raising premiums for next year.
Together, the developments are posing new challenges for Americans seeking affordable coverage, and show the highly touted overhaul of the country’s health care system is in some cases not yielding the savings President Obama once promised.
Like pulling troops out of Iraq, the $875 billion stimulus that did not stimulate and now ObamaCare everything but affordable.
I have one question: Where would President Obama’s approvals be if we had an honest idea willing to get out of the tank, dry up and put on their journalist uniforms?
P.S. You can listen to my show (Canto Talk) and follow me on Twitter.


Tags: Iraq, Obama Care, 2016 debates  To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!

Thursday, September 29, 2016

2016 election and a few other thoughts




Tags: 2016 election, online polls, Obama Care, troops to Iraq To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!

Shakespeare would say today: First kill all the snap polls!


On Monday night, I saw a message in social media that Univision’s poll had Clinton beating Trump, 9-1!
It naturally created a little excitement, specially among those who were probably clicking the website saying that Clinton had destroyed Trump. I reminded the people in the chat that Univision’s numbers had two problems: It was not scientific or a real poll, and, it did not even reflect Mr. Trump’s standing with Hispanics.
At one point, I just turned off the politics and went to the MLB channel to catch up with the pennant races. At least, they weren’t running instant polls on whether the Blue Jays would beat the Orioles for the # 1 wild card seed.
Put me down as someone who does not like snap polls. They mean nothing and end up creating confusion about the state of the race.
To be fair, most of the snap polls actually had Trump winning. Even the CNN poll (Clinton 62-27 over Trump) had so many “caveats” that you had to learn Latin to understand it:
And while it handed the victory overwhelmingly to Clinton, it was more mixed on whether the debate will make a difference, with 47 per cent saying it would not affect their vote, 34 per cent saying it moved them towards Clinton — and 18 per cent towards Trump.
And that’s the serious poll of the night? 62% say that Clinton won but 47% saying that it does not matter. What were these people watching?  A debate or a movie?
The moral of the story is that there are too many snap polls that mean nothing.   
As I told a friend, this debate really did little to change the race. Trump did miss some “fat pitches” and Clinton’s permanent smile looked like she was a portrait rather than a human being. Again, it had little impact on voters.
Let me add two more thoughts about this campaign, indeed the most unique that I’ve seen.
First, the media is in the tank for Hillary Clinton but this is actually hurting her, as Michael Goodwin noted:
But here’s the other side of the story: Trump won’t suffer much voter pain, certainly not enough to put victory out of reach. His secret weapon is that his core supporters, including many independents, distrust the media nearly as much as they distrust Clinton.
Consider that, while most media professionals said Clinton won the debate, most online polls of viewers had Trump winning.
Second, we are two nations speaking two languages, as my friend Barry Casselman wrote recently. The elites say “free trade”, look at maps and economic theories. The people between the coasts hear “free trade” and they see their plant or job leaving. Donald Trump is speaking the language between the coasts and that is why he is in this race.    
And yes, let’s kill all of the snap polls!   
P.S. You can listen to my show (Canto Talk) and follow me on Twitter.    We discussed the debate in Wednesday’s show:


Tags: Snap polls  To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!

Wednesday, September 28, 2016

A round table discussion of the Clinton-Trump debate


CLICK BELOW TO LISTEN:

A round table discussion of the Clinton-Trump debate 09/28 by Silvio Canto Jr | News Podcasts:

We have invited many friends of our show to look at Monday's first presidential debate......how did the two candidates do? who got the most out of the evening? how did the moderator do?...we had a question about 'birthers' but not one about Obama Care............and other stories since the debate....


Tags: Clinton vs Trump debate To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!

How can you do a presidential debate without a question about ObamaCare?


As the song goes, “another one bites the dust”! We just learned that another insurance carrier is out:
BlueCross BlueShield of Tennessee sent shock waves Monday across Tennessee with the company’s decision to exit the Obamacare exchange in Nashville, Memphis, and Knoxville, a move that highlights persistent volatility in the young health insurance marketplace.
Three years into the Affordable Care Act exchange, the state’s largest insurer is grappling with hefty losses and ongoing uncertainty on the marketplace. BCBST is open to coming fully back into the market once uncertainties about policies and the membership wane.
The insurer made “an extremely difficult but necessary decision” to leave the state’s three largest markets as it tries to manage its number of members to hit a break-even point after three years of losses, said Roy Vaughn, chief communications officer of BCBST.
The insurer is projecting losses approaching $500 million by the end of 2016. BCBST is not alone, as many insurers have been saddled with uncertainty and significant losses in the federally run marketplace.
Maybe Lester Holt, and his staff, were so busy studying “the birther” issue that this whole story just passed them by.
It is incredible to me that there were no questions about ObamaCare, a problem that will consume #45. Why didn’t Trump bring it up? He could have challenged the moderator to ask about it or simply bring it up during the economy discussion.
Don’t get me wrong. I’m not saying that Holt was part of some conspiracy. Worse than that — he doesn’t think that ObamaCare was important enough to be in the debate. That’s scary!
By the way, ObamaCare’s enrollment issues have now reached the point that the administration is hoping to use social media to pull in younger folks. Of course, it’s not that young people don’t know about ObamaCare. The real issue is that they don’t think it’s a good deal, whether you text or Facebook them!
P.S. You can listen to my show (Canto Talk) and follow me on Twitter.




Tags: Obama Care and the Clinton Trump debate To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!

Tuesday, September 27, 2016

The day after the debate with Barry Casselman, The Prairie Editor


CLICK THE LINK TO LISTEN TO THE SHOW:

The day after the debate with Barry Casselman, The Prairie Editor 09/27 by Silvio Canto Jr | News Podcasts:

Guest: Barry Casselman, The Prairie Editor......we will look at Monday's first presidential debate......how did the two candidates do? who got the most out of the evening? how did the moderator do?.....and other stories....


Tags: Clinton vs Trump debates To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!

A draw and that favors Trump



Tags: Clinton vs Trump debate  To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!

A word about debates past


k20317219
As I was telling a friend in Latin America, we have not always had debates in the U.S. In fact, we didn’t from 1788 to 1960.    
They did not happen again from 1964 to 1976. I’ve often wondered what an LBJ-Goldwater debate would have looked like. My guess is that LBJ would not have won with 60% of the vote. It would have been a lot closer because Senator Goldwater was really an extremely serious man and  not the monster that the LBJ campaign made of him.
In 1976, I recall President Ford challenged Governor Carter to debates. It happened during the 1976 acceptance speech, or a time when he was down in double digits and putting the party back together.  
As you may know, Governor Carter accepted and we had three serious debates with one line about Poland that President Ford had to take back.     
For most of us, it was the first time that we seen such a debate since the famous Nixon-Kennedy debates of 1960. I don’t remember the 1960 debates but my parents, and many Cubans on the island, did pay close attention by radio (“Voice of America”) because Cuba was a major topic.
There are a few facts about these debates that you may want to consider:
1976 also marked the introduction of vice presidential debates which have regularly been held since 1984. 
Let’s be honest: rarely do voters pay attention and rarely are these debates memorable. 
There is, however, one exception. 
In the 1988 debate between Dan Quayle and Lloyd Bentsen, Quayle suggested he had as much experience as former President John F. Kennedy. Bentsen retorted with the now famous lines, “Senator, I served with Jack Kennedy. I knew Jack Kennedy. Jack Kennedy was a friend of mine. Senator, you’re no Jack Kennedy.”
Yes, that Bentsen-Quayle moment was memorable but it had zero impact on the results. I would add that Admiral Stockdale’s “who am I” moment in the 1992 VP debates was hysterical.
I recall some highlights, such as Reagan’s “there you again“. It may have flipped the election because it happened the last week of the campaign. It was a dead heat that night but it ended 51-41% a week later or election day.
Reagan benefited from another line in 1984 when he joked about Mondale’s youth. It probably sealed that election, too.
Another favorite moment was from 2000 when VP Gore made a total you know what out of himself with his facial contortions and reactions to Governor Bush. It ended up helping the calmer and more steady Bush but I’m not sure that it changed any votes.
In both 2004 and 2012, the incumbent was crushed in the first debate. President Bush looked tired and President Obama looked like he’d rather be watching ESPN that night. They both looked bad but came back and were reelected with just under 51% of the vote.   
Here are some ideas for debates in the future:
1) Go to a audience format and have people ask questions. They are more interesting and relevant. You can have a media person call on the voters and have them ask the questions; 
2) Have the governor of each state ask the candidate a question. In other words, 50 questions. I like this idea because so often the states get lost in these debates. At the moment, there are more GOP governors and that may be an advantage to Trump. However, I trust that the questions will be about issues and force the candidates to address topics like the EPA, federalism, judicial tyranny and a few others; and,
3) Have one last debate with a panel of six journalists approved by both sides.   
It may be fun to have a Lincoln-Douglas debate someday but I don’t think the candidates will run the risk.
Good luck to the candidates!
P.S. You can listen to my show (Canto Talk) and follow me on Twitter.

Tags: A word on past debates To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!

Monday, September 26, 2016

The 2016 election and other thoughts with Richard Baehr of American Thinker


CLICK THE LINK BELOW TO LISTEN:

The 2016 election and other thoughts with Richard Baehr of American Thinker 09/26 by Silvio Canto Jr | News Podcasts:

Guest: Richard Baehr, Chief Political Correspondent for American Thinker.......also contributor to other online political sites..........we will take a look at Monday's debate...........plus the recent disclosure that President Obama used a 'fake name' to communicate with Secretary Clinton..........how much credibility has the FBI lost?.....and other stories.........


Tags: FBI and Clinton emails, Clinton vs Trump debates To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!

Could Senator Kaine be nominated in 2020?


The great Michael Barone wrote of the most interesting posts that I’ve read all year.   
He looked at the Democrat Party if Hillary Clinton is defeated. Barone sees a lot of problems and he is right:
But what if Hillary Clinton loses? The political map in that case will look quite different, with Democratic states confined to the Northeast, West Coast and a few splotches in between. The presidential Democratic Party, like the congressional Democratic Party, will be concentrated in heavily Democratic central cities, some sympathetic suburbs and scattered university towns…
One option for Democrats would be to moderate their policies, as the New Democrats urged in the 1980s and Bill Clinton did in the 1990s. After all, that proved pretty successful…
Hillary Clinton’s move from her husband’s 1990s triangulation to her near-total acceptance this year of Bernie Sanders’ left-wing platform was a rational response to changes in the Democratic primary electorate.
One lesson of recent presidential primaries is that Democratic voters are transfixed by identity politics, having elected the first black president and chosen the first female presidential nominee. Another is that there’s a large constituency for left-wing candidates.
What they haven’t been interested in is cisgendered white male liberals. The largely forgotten John Edwards fell by the wayside quickly in 2008, and Martin O’Malley, with credentials similar to those of Bill Clinton and Michael Dukakis, attracted zero support in 2016.
That leaves them with no obvious choices if Clinton loses this year. Their most visible and attractive left-wingers, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, will be over 70 in 2020. Prominent black and Hispanic officeholders tend to represent overwhelmingly Democratic constituencies and have made few of the bows to moderation that made Barack Obama a plausible national candidate in 2008.
It’s possible that a post-2016 Democratic Party could look like Britain’s Labor Party, which has abandoned the New Labor posture of Tony Blair that produced three landslide victories in 1997, 2001 and 2005. Now, under far-left-wing leader Jeremy Corbyn, the party seems headed for landslide defeat in 2020.
Let me add a couple of thoughts:   
1)  Be careful with writing a party obituary. The GOP was allegedly dead in the water after 1964 then came Vietnam, the hippies and VP Nixon was elected in 1968. Even Nixon declared himself dead in the water after losing the 1962 election in California but came back. So be careful with the obituary because things always change; and,
2) Who would the Democrats nominate in 2020 that could bring together the left, the public and private unions, minorities, and so on? Could Kaine survive that primary? Who could? What centrist governor is out there? What Governor Clinton is out there willing to run a centrist campaign for president? Furthermore, what Democrat constituency is willing to buy into a centrist campaign?
On the whole, Mr. Barone is right that the Democrats face exile if Clinton loses. One of the most interesting consequences of the last two Democrat presidents is that they destroyed the middle. Bill Clinton turned the South permanent red in 1994 and Obama pushed identity politics to such an extreme that the party has lost a big chunk of the white vote.
So 2016 is more than Clinton vs. Trump. It’s really about the future of the Democrat Party.    
P.S. You can listen to my show (Canto Talk) and follow me on Twitter.     Check out my book "Cubanos in Wisconsin":


Tags: The Democrats if Clinton loses To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!

PLEASE SUPPORT OUR BLOG AND RADIO SHOW

FOLLOW MY BLOG

LISTEN TO OUR RECENT SHOWS

Check Out Politics Podcasts at Blog Talk Radio with Silvio Canto Jr on BlogTalkRadio

Follow by Email

MY TWITTER

FACEBOOK

Search This Blog