Will it work? I don't think so! Pres BO was elected by people who voted for a "fantasy". They voted for someone who'd save the world and move mountains. Therefore, it is very difficult to tell the voters that the man does not walk on water or that he does not know how to swim.
Back in October 2008, Professor Ajami made an amazing prediction:
"The morning after the election, the disappointment will begin to settle upon the Obama crowd. Defeat -- by now unthinkable to the devotees -- will bring heartbreak. Victory will steadily deliver the sobering verdict that our troubles won't be solved by a leader's magic."
Professor Ajami looks like a prophet today, specially now that we see how the Obama presidency has disappointed the millions who got drunk on "hope and change."
As far as the convention is concerned, the Dems are still trying to energize their base, from young people to Hispanics. Karl Rove reports that the magic is gone:
"The good news for Mr. Obama is that he has maintained his 2008 margin among Hispanics. The bad news is that less than half (42%) of Hispanic respondents said they were "very interested" in November's election, according to an Aug. 20 NBC/WSJ/Telemundo poll.
The news is worse among women. Despite a summer of Democratic attacks on the GOP for waging a "war on women," the president's "unfavorable impression" rating among women is up 11 points since April to 50% unfavorable/46% favorable in this week's ABC/Washington Post poll.
This has depressed his overall favorable/unfavorable rating to 46%/49%, only slightly better than Mr. Romney's 43%/48%. The percentage of women with a "favorable impression" of Mr. Romney is up eight points since April.
Then there are voters ages 18 to 29, among Mr. Obama's most important supporters in 2008. The roughly 23.7 million "millennials" who voted in 2008 were 18% of the electorate, up 2.9 million voters over the previous presidential race. They gave Mr. Obama 66% to Sen. John McCain's 32%, according to exit polls. This margin of roughly eight million votes was a major chunk of Mr. Obama's overall edge of 9.6 million.
But youthful enthusiasm for Mr. Obama has waned. In October 2008, 78% of voters 18-29 told Gallup they would definitely vote that year. Now it's 58%.
There's also evidence that fewer younger people are registered. A November 2011 study from Tufts University found that 43% of the decline in Nevada's voter rolls since 2008 came from voters ages 18-24. Similarly, while North Carolina's rolls rose by 93,709 over that period, more than 48,000 younger voters were dropped from the rolls, 80% of them Democrats.
Mr. Obama's lead over Mr. Romney in the latest JZ Analytics poll among voters ages 18-29 is 49% to 41%. If young voters turn out this fall in the same numbers as in 2008 and give Mr. Obama this eight-point margin, it will take 2.8 million votes from Mr. Obama's total and add more than 3.3 million to Mr. Romney's tally."
The whole "war on women" campaign is another example of trying to energize their base.
Where was Sec Clinton? Gov Guomo of NY? I don't know.
My guess is that this speech fell flat outside of the convention. You can not sell a bad product twice. It was too long and over the top. How can the "Solyndra man" talk about special interests? How can the man who made so many promises now promise more? Some of the faithful intoxicated with Obama-mania will buy it but most won't. Again, you can not sell a bad product the second time around.
We will look at the polls but my guess is that Romney will be ahead when the dust settles.
Tags: From "yes we can" to "we didn't and probably can't" To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!
