The House is up for grabs:
Trust me on this. This election is not over. In fact, the election campaign is starting as Republicans spend $100 million on TV and radio. See Election Projection's
"Yes, we're probably slightly behind right now, but we're not getting creamed. I'd say we're down by a touchdown going into the fourth quarter and we've got the ball. There is still plenty of time left to pull it out. As the headline above reads, the outcome truly is in our hands. Neither side can or should let up going down the home stretch, from despair nor over-confidence. This game is far from over - the side who finishes strongest will win."
Congressional Quarterly Inc has the House at 209-209 with 17 too close to call seats. In other words, it can go either way.
Listen to Hugh Hewitt:
"There is simply no data to support the idea of significant if any turnout diminishment. There is grousing. There is posing. There is much struggle to claim Spenglerian cred. But the idea of widespread discontent and a desire to punish the party for the misdeeds of a soaring economy, a 12,000 dow, two Supreme Court justices and a border fence isn't there."
Take a look at Carried Away by Talk of a 'Wave' By Tom Bevan:
"But right now the chances of Republicans maintaining control of the House and Senate seem equally as good as (if not slightly better than) the predictions of some that Democrats will rack up gains of forty plus seats in the House. As I said, a lot can still change over the next eighteen days when Americans finally go out and conduct the only poll that matters."
See The GOP victory?:
"Our analysis -- based on a race-by-race examination of campaign-finance data -- suggests that the GOP will hang on to both chambers, at least nominally. We expect the Republican majority in the House to fall by eight seats, to 224 of the chamber's 435. At the very worst, our analysis suggests, the party's loss could be as large as 14 seats, leaving a one-seat majority. But that is still a far cry from the 20-seat loss some are predicting. In the Senate, with 100 seats, we see the GOP winding up with 52, down three"
What should we do? Turn off the news and just vote.
Also, you can volunteer (as I already did) at gop.com. We need everyone on the phone and knocking on doors. This is the famous 72 hour task force.
There are many ways to help.
Last but not least, the new Republican video is great!:
"The ad highlights the high stakes America faces in the global War on Terror by using the words of the terrorists themselves as they describe their intention towards the United States. “The Stakes” will be emailed to millions of Republican supporters, grassroots activists, and all state parties. The web ad is available for viewing now on www.gop.com."
Like 2000, 2002 and 2004, this is about turnout rather than polls.